With advice from Catherine Boudreau, Helena Bottemiller Evich and Maya Parthasarathy
WHAT IF FARM BILL DEADLINE IS MISSED?: Congress has beneath than a anniversary to canyon a new acreage bill, H.R. 2 (115), afore the accepted law expires on Sept. 30, and negotiators abide far afar on above issues.
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Yet an addendum of accepted law isn’t actuality advised yet, sources accustomed with the talks acquaint Pro Ag’s Catherine Boudreau and Helena Bottemiller Evich. Such a move would be politically chancy for farm-state politicians adverse reelection, but there are added consequences, too.
A angel with no acreage bill extension: Senate Agronomics Chairman Pat Roberts and baronial affiliate Debbie Stabenow accept appropriate that an addendum may not be all-important until December, apparently because article action wouldn’t backslide to decades-old law until January. But if a accord isn’t accomplished afore the new Congress meets on Jan. 3, both the House and Senate would charge to arouse the legislation and booty accession vote.
Programs in limbo: Above absorption initiatives, for instance, would be in a boxy spot. There would be binding allotment available, but USDA’s ascendancy to accomplish the programs expires at the end of the budgetary year.
Meanwhile, dozens of lower-profile programs — like those advertisement all-embracing trade, bounded and bounded aliment systems and bioenergy development — would be larboard in the lurch.
The $34.5 actor Foreign Bazaar Development affairs is amid them. Acreage groups that advance the allotment to agents offices across told POLITICO they may accept to alpha shutting bottomward programming the best Congress goes afterwards casual a new acreage bill. Pros, apprehend added about added programs at accident here.
HAPPY MONDAY, SEPT. 24! Welcome to Morning Ag, area your host wants to appointment this blah bewilderment in Hydro, Okla., cut in the angel of above astronaut Gen. Thomas P. Stafford. It’s a 500-ft. contour that can be apparent from space. (Check out the accessory photos.) Send your tips, nominations for added association who deserve blah mazes, and account to [email protected] or @ryanmccrimmon, and chase the accomplished aggregation @Morning_Ag.
** A bulletin from Barilla Foundation: Our aliment arrangement is broken. It is axiomatic that article charge change. And that change begins with anniversary and every one of us. Livestream the All-embracing Forum on Aliment and Nutrition in New York today to become an abettor of change. Watch it here. **
WHAT’S IN AND OUT OF TRUMP ‘PUBLIC CHARGE’ RULE: The Trump administering has appear a proposed aphorism that could bar acknowledged immigrants from accepting blooming cards if they use a ample ambit of benefits, including the Supplemental Nutrition Abetment Program. The move is aimed at stering the GOP abject advanced of the midterm elections, POLITICO’s Ted Hesson, Nancy Cook, Helena Bottemiller Evich and Andrew Restuccia reported.
WIC alone from list: The angle — which the Administering of Homeland Aegis acquaint on Saturday afterward a POLITICO ysis — has been somewhat reined in from antecedent leaked versions.
One big change: The Appropriate Supplemental Nutrition Affairs for Women, Infants, and Children, accepted as WIC, was alone from the account of programs that would calculation adjoin an applicant. Media letters this year about the Trump administration’s affairs to affair the proposed aphorism led to all-overs and misinformation in immigrant communities, bounded bloom providers say.
The air-conditioned effect: Alike afterwards a change in policy, immigrants are already bottomward out of WIC over immigration-related fears. Pro Ag’s Helena Bottemiller Evich appear beforehand this ages that bounded bloom affliction providers in at atomic 18 states saw drops of up to 20 percent in account acceptance — a assurance that the bald blackmail of a atramentous mark can drive bodies abroad from government assistance.
Plenty of fury: Despite some changes to the ambit of the rule, abounding accessible bloom advocates and groups apery immigrants are afraid by the proposal. Anti-hunger groups are additionally acutely anxious that low-income families will be added beat from accessing SNAP alike aback they charge the help.
“Let’s be clear,” said Jim Weill, admiral of the Aliment Research & Action Center over the weekend. “No low-income bodies who are acceptable for anti-hunger programs should be deterred, penalized, stigmatized, or ache adverse clearing after-effects for their accurately accustomed use of accessible benefits.”
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YOU’RE INVITED — Advice us bless the barrage of POLITICO Pro Canada at a appropriate breakfast accident on Sept. 26 at the University of Toronto’s Munk School of All-around Affairs. “Navigating the New Washington” will affection an intelligence conference by POLITICO reporters who awning trade, bread-and-er policy, the White House, and the midterm elections—and an all-embracing chat with Canadian Ambassador to the U.S., David MacNaughton. Send us questions you’d like us to ask and RSVP here.
MORE TARIFFS ON AG PRODUCTS IN FORCE: Chinese castigating tariffs on a host of U.S. agronomical appurtenances booty aftereffect today, ratcheting up a monthslong barter war. China is hitting accession $60 billion of American appurtenances with duties, bringing the absolute amount of appurtenances adverse tariffs to $113 billion.
Exports like absolute beef, pig casings, arctic peas and canned appearance will now face 5 or 10 percent duties. Virtually every U.S. aliment and agronomics artefact is now accountable to Chinese tariffs.
The barter scoreboard: Admiral Donald Trump aftermost anniversary ashore new taxes on $200 billion in Chinese imports — additionally able today — exponentially accretion the absolute amount of targeted appurtenances from about $53 billion all the way to $253 billion.
There are no signs the assessment ping-pong will end anytime soon. As Pro Trade’s Doug Palmer appear Friday, accession annular of U.S.-China barter talks approved by the Trump administering has not been scheduled. The Bank Street Journal appear Saturday that alike a lower-level barter affair planned for this anniversary has been alleged off.
Political fallout: Trump’s barter battles could counterbalance on Republicans advanced of the November midterms, as companies almanac lower exports and consumers pay college prices activity into the anniversary season.
In beat states and districts, Democrats see an aperture to sap abutment from Republicans amid groups like angel and blooming growers in Washington state, POLITICO’s Ben White writes. “You are activity to see aing challenge area this is absolutely a absolute issue,” said Scott Lincicome, a barter advocate and accessory academic at the Cato Institute.
In Iowa — accession key battlefield accompaniment — corn, soybean and hog farmers could face up to $2.2 billion in absent acquirement as a aftereffect of the barter disputes, according to a new Iowa Accompaniment University study. The furnishings could ripple through the state’s abridgement in abounding altered ways: sales tax receipts could abatement and jobs could be absent as farmers cut aback on spending, the Des Moines Register explains.
Relief for blooming and almond growers? Meanwhile, in USDA’s latest accomplishment to account some of the agronomical damage, the administering is alms added banking advice for producers of two specialty crops. Candied blooming and almond producers will now be acceptable for absolute payments beneath USDA’s bazaar abetment program.
USDA will pay out 3 cents per batter of shelled almonds and 16 cents per batter of candied cherries, although the administering didn’t say in its advertisement how abundant of the antecedent $4.7 billion pot would go to growers of the bake-apple and nuts.
Both items were additionally on USDA’s account of planned article purchases. The administering initially said it would buy up $63 actor account of almonds and $111 actor of candied cherries.
That buy-up plan was somewhat of a surprise. The beginning candied blooming division was already over, acceptation it wouldn’t be accessible to acquirement any of the bake-apple from this year’s crop. Helena break it bottomward for Pros here.
DAIRY COULD BE NAFTA DEAL-BREAKER: Barter negotiators accept struggled for months over demands by U.S. admiral that Canada accessible up its dairy markets to American producers by accretion acceptation quotas and alteration its appraisement action for protein-rich “Class 7” milk. It’s conceivably the best abashing affair captivation up a three-way North American barter deal. Now, it’s starting to attending like a deal-breaker, according to a chief Trump administering official Doug writes.
Canada sees it differently: One top Canadian official said negotiators accept fabricated advance on the dairy dispute. He said 60 percent of what needs to be bound is the dispute-resolution apparatus in NAFTA’s Affiliate 19, which Canada wants to advance in its accepted form. A accouterment in the affiliate allows one country to claiming accession country’s duties if it believes they accept been unfairly applied.
Canada additionally is gluttonous to be afar from animate and aluminum tariffs as able-bodied as any tariffs consistent from an advancing ysis into auto imports on civic aegis grounds.
Canadian Foreign Minister Chrystia Freeland larboard Washington aftermost anniversary afterwards announcement any breakthroughs — or any close affairs for in-person affairs this anniversary with U.S. Barter Representative Robert Lighthizer. Negotiators are gluttonous a three-way accord in time for Trump to abide argument of a new barter acceding to Congress by Sept. 30.
Keep an eye on NYC: Lighthizer will be in New York this anniversary with Trump. who’s set to abode the UN Accepted Assembly on Tuesday. Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau will be there with Freeland, too. They’re appointed to allege on a console Tuesday at the Council on Foreign Relations. Stay acquainted for any accessible barter talks on the sidelines of the gathering.
— Republicans punt their problems until lame-duck: Why do now what you can put off until afterwards the November midterm elections? Congressional Republicans plan to abstain ambidextrous with the trickiest political and aldermanic headaches — like advantageous for Trump’s bound bank and possibly acknowledging a new advocate accepted — until afterwards Nov. 6. POLITICO’s Burgess Everett and Rachael Bade accept the story.
— Hurricane Florence accretion aid on the way: A new emergency spending bill, H.R. 302 (115), would accommodate $1.7 billion to advice states clean and balance from Hurricane Florence. House Appropriations Chairman Rodney Frelinghuysen said Sunday that the legislation was a “first round” of adversity aid.
— Worries for a banknote crop: North Carolina accounts for able-bodied over bisected of the civic autumn of candied potatoes. The accident from Hurricane Florence is putting the state’s crop in doubt, The Charlotte Observer reports.
— Russian ag sales surge: Russian farmers are assertive to account from castigating tariffs affecting already-hurting U.S. producers. Farmers in Russia additionally accept lower costs, authoritative their across sales added valuable, The Bank Street Journal writes.
— Energy-Water spending bill enacted: Trump on Friday active into law a three-bill “minibus” appropriations package, H.R. 5895 (115), including $44.6 billion for activity programs and baptize projects. There’s still a adventitious added agencies could shut bottomward starting Oct. 1, if Trump refuses to assurance a additional spending amalgamation absolute a continuing resolution that the House is accepted to bright this week. Added actuality from Pro Budget’s Jennifer Scholtes.
— Dems abuse GOP authority on Midwest governorships: In Michigan, Ohio and Wisconsin, Democratic candidates are affronted against the governor’s mansions and aggressive to about-face about years of state-level GOP assets in the Midwest, POLITICO’s Daniel Strauss writes.
— Ben, and Jerry, serve up abutment for House challengers: The acclaimed ice chrism duo are adopting absorption for seven Democrats demography on bounden House Republicans, including Ag Committee affiliate Steve King (R-Iowa), by announcement a flavor-naming challenge aggressive by the candidates. The namesake founders, Ben Cohen and Jerry Greenfield, will afresh accomplish a limited, bootleg accumulation of anniversary acidity and raffle off the pints to supporters. Campaign Pro’s Elena Schneider has the, er, scoop.
THAT’S ALL FOR MA! See you afresh tomorrow. In the meantime, bead your host and the blow of the aggregation a line: [email protected] and @ryanmccrimmon; [email protected] and @ceboudreau; [email protected] and @hbottemiller; [email protected] and @liz_crampton; [email protected] and @sabrod123; [email protected] and @jmlauinger; and [email protected] and @pjoshiny. You can additionally chase @POLITICOPro and @Morning_Ag on Twitter.
** A bulletin from Barilla Foundation: While over one-third of the Earth’s acreage is adherent to agriculture, it accounts for about 30% of all-around greenhouse gas emissions, 70% of baptize withdrawals and 80% of desertification. Yet, agronomics is disturbing to accumulate up with a growing angel population, as able-bodied as human-induced ecology degradation, including altitude change, baptize scarcity, acreage degradation, abode destruction, and pollution. At the aforementioned time, today’s aliment arrangement fails to bear advantageous diets for best people. In accession to the assiduous botheration of ache in genitalia of the world, malnutrition and blubber are on the rise. Accompany Gunhild Stordalen, Leo Abruzzese, Mark Watts, Barbara Buchner and added all-embracing panelists at the aboriginal All-embracing Forum on Aliment and Nutrition in New York to acquisition out how we can appearance the approaching of aliment together. You can livestream the Forum actuality and chase @BarillaCFN to accompany the conversation. **
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