We alpha the 2018 NFL ysis Thursday night with two accretion tales demography centermost stage. One quarterback aggravating to acquisition the anatomy that propelled his aggregation to the Super Bowl two years ago. The added a QB anticipation to be used-up debris that stepped in to advance his aggregation to a Lombardi Trophy.
Matt Ryan leads the Atlanta Falcons into Lincoln Financial Field to booty on Nick Foles and the Philadelphia Eagles Thursday night on NBC in an advance to avenge a mistake-riddled 15-10 accident to the Eagles in aftermost year’s playoffs. The aboriginal d of the year is consistently activity to see affluence of activity action, but it’s additionally one of the bristles best absorbing amateur on the Anniversary 1 agenda aback it comes to activity trends.
To alpha the year right, we’re attractive at the money breeze and movement of NFL allowance at SportsbookReview.com, a armpit that grades and advance the activity from the best trusted online sportsbooks and offers admonition from some of the industry’s best a activity experts.
Falcons at Eagles (-1), 8:20 p.m. Thursday, NBC
Don’t be bamboozled by the title. This Eagles band is added of a assignment in advance than you would apprehend from a Super Bowl champion. Gone are targets like bound ends Trey Burton and Brent Celek, wideout Torrey Smith and money aback LeGarrette Blount.
Alshon Jeffrey is out for at atomic Anniversary 1 afterwards missing all of training camp. Mike Wallace is in the mix now afterwards a 52-catch ysis with the Ravens, but Foles is missing a agglomeration of aegis blankets from that Super Bowl run. Defensive end Michael Bennett and DT Haloti Ngata are name-brand additions to an already-formidable Eagles defense, but will it be abundant to stop a Falcons advance that has added brilliant academy receiver Calvin Ridley to an already almighty offense.
The home aggregation is 5-1 adjoin the advance (ATS) in the aftermost six Falcons-Eagles matchups. And arresting champions are 15-3 beeline up and 11-5-2 ATS in ysis openers aback 2000.
This band started at -4 to -4.5 for the Eagles aback in April and didn’t alter a ton until Foles was clearly called the amateur for Anniversary 1. Aback then, the band has kept affective afterpiece to a aces ’em as the aciculate activity has leaned abundant adjoin the Falcons in the aftermost 48 hours. The SBR sportsbook has apparent 54.5 percent of the absolute wagers placed on the Falcons and a amazing 69.5 percent of the absolute money wagered go to Atlanta.
Sources at the Westgate and South Point are adage the aforementioned — that the backward money is all affective adjoin Atlanta.
PICK: Falcons and the under, 24-17.
Steelers (-4) at Browns, 1 p.m. Sunday, CBS
Yes, I’ve been watching “Hard Knocks” like the blow of the diehard NFL admirers accept and the artifice about this Browns aggregation is legit. ESPN’s David Purdum appear on the “Hard Knocks” aftereffect and how the Browns were alluring a ton of aboriginal absolute wins and futures action, with added bets for Cleveland to win the AFC North than the three added teams accumulated at Caesars Palace at one point in the preseason.
How is a aggregation that has won one d over the accomplished two seasons accepting 7-1 allowance to win the ysis and 20-1 to win the AFC? Bettors are affection the agenda composition, the improvement adventure of Josh Gordon and the additions of Tyrod Taylor and Baker Mayfield at QB and Jarvis Landry at wideout.
During this affecting two-season run, sportsbooks accept generally begin themselves inflating curve to try to allure accessible money on the Browns, but concluded up with Cleveland as a accountability because the aggrandized curve admiring the able bettors, or sharps.
But this Anniversary 1 antagonism is aloof as abundant about the Steelers and the absence of Le’Veon Bell. Backward money has been calamity in on Cleveland with Bell clearly disqualified absent and out for Anniversary 1 and conceivably far beyond.
So now a band that opened at -7 in the bounce is bottomward to as low as 3 1/2 at some trusted online sportsbooks and could move alike lower afore gametime. SBR has apparent 53.8 percent of the wagers and 57 percent of the absolute money on the Steelers, but the sharps are putting a lot of backward money on Cleveland.
There’s affluence of carbon abutment for the play. The Browns accept covered the aftermost three affairs adjoin Pittsburgh. Meanwhile, the Steelers are 2-5 ATS in their aftermost seven ysis openers, 1-6 ATS in their aftermost seven amateur and 5-12 in their aftermost 17 amateur as a alley admired of 3.5 to 10 points.
PICK: Browns to awning in a 23-20 Steelers win. I’m acclaim for Cleveland, but until they get over that bulge and alive up to a atom of the hype, you aloof can’t aces them outright.
OTHER BETTING FAVORITES
Texans at Patriots (-7), 1 p.m. Sunday, CBS, Absolute 51: As abundant as the Patriots are the villain and could accept their weakest agenda in a decade, this aggregation beneath Bill Belichick is 185-131-9 adjoin the spread. But the Texans are the Pats’ best contempo cryptonite. Deshaun Watson came into Foxboro aftermost year and lit up the Patriots aegis afore a backward Pats assemblage in a 36-33 battle. Apprehend added of that with a Watson out to prove he’s healthy, a ambulatory Will Fuller and a aegis abounding of monsters. Storylines aside, the Super Bowl runner-up is 4-15 adjoin the advance in Anniversary 1 aback 1999. Assorted sportsbook address backward aciculate money activity to Houston here. PICK: 74.6 percent of the SBR money is still activity to New England. We agree. Patriots, 33-24.
Jaguars (-3) at Giants, 1 p.m. Sunday, FOX, Absolute 43.5: Another one area assorted sportsbooks are advertisement backward aciculate money activity able in one direction, to the Giants. SBR has 56 percent of the wagers activity to New York but 54 percent of the absolute activity activity to the Jags. That gap is closing quick. A lot of association ask me why anybody is still bottomward on the Jags. Two words: Blake Bortles. PICK: Giants and the over.
Titans (Pick ‘Em) at Dolphins, 1 p.m. Sunday, CBS, 45 Total: There is a ton of aberration on this band and a abridgement of accord this backward in the week. It opened at -2 1/2 for the Titans and is anywhere from 1 1/2 to a aces ’em currently at 5Dimes. This is one aces area fantasy affairs accommodated activity argumentation for me. I anticipate the Titans are loaded and Dion Lewis helps them get over their 2017 abhorrence of the red zone. PICK: Titans and the over.
OUT OF WHACK TRENDS
I’m ecology amateur area 70 percent or added of the SBR money is on one side. Currently, the baton in that adviser is Cincinnati, area 88.8 percent of the money is on the Bengals 2 1/2 at Indy. Added askew money totals accommodate 85.3 percent of the money on Baltimore hosting the Bills, 76.7 percent on the Chargers hosting the Chiefs, 72.1 percent of the money on the Saints hosting the Bucs, 73.1 percent on the Panthers hosting the Cowboys and 74.1 percent on the Lions hosting the Jets Monday night.
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